I have woken up to Del.icio.us.
Category: Web 2.0
What kind of blogger are you?
I have been blogging for over 4 years now. I have been asked why I blog numerous times. And obviously I have give piece of mind to all those people. I have also met and interacted with a lot of fellow bloggers and I have realized that there are basically 4 kinds of bloggers.
- Conscious Bloggers: People who really want to make a difference – not only in societal context but also in terms of business, way people use technology and other things. They are very focused in their approach and make sure they are attuned with the latest in their respective industries. More often than not, they end up becoming an influential voices in their respective fields.
- Copy Cats: Because having a blog is cool, there are people who want to be cool and who would want to follow fads, they blog. Most of these blogs are abandoned within a short span and end up contributing to the Internet Junk. The lesser said about these people, better it is. Saves times and energy and content on Internet
- Money Mongers: People who want to make money using their blogs (inspired by TechCrunch and other such blogs). They would start by posting everything and anything under the sun. They would blatantly copy things from other popular bloggers and will submit their blogs to search engines and aggregators at a feverish pace. It is very unlikely that they would ever make money with their blogs and will end up frustrating themselves. Some who are smarter, would on the course realize that blogging with an objective of making money would not work and they change course and obviously end up successful.
- Confused Souls: People who don’t know why they blog but they anyways do it. The idea is not to make money or to get famous. The idea is to find an audience for their thoughts. Only gratification comes in the way of comments from their friends and other random visitors that have stumbled onto these blogs. They often have interesting things to say but due to the lack of recognition, they are lost in the noise. They are like the needles in the haystack that if identified could be put to good use.
What kind of blogger are you?
Originally posted here.
Lessons from Warren Buffet for Start-Ups
Lessons for startups from WEB’s Letter to Shareholders.
Warren E. Buffet is one of the most celebrated men in the modern history. Better known as WEB, he is a self-made billionaire made most of his money from investments. His flagship holding company, Berkshire Hathaway has stake in more than 70 businesses. WEB believes in taking a controlling stake in companies and chooses a company because of the business value and the kind of people running it. Any mention to WEB is incomplete without talking about Benjamin Graham – WEB’s mentor and Charlie Munger – WEB’s partner at Berkshire Hathaway.
I would look at his few nuggets of wisdom and look at their implications for start-ups from his 2007 letter to shareholders.
People
There could not be a better starting point than Charlie Munger. They are one of the most celebrated teams in the financial world. Everyone knows that we need to select business partners very carefully. All partners should trust the judgments of other partners and should stand behind every decision.
Most of the managers at Berkshire have “… no financial need to work“. This simply means that the people who are working are working because they love working. Rewards for them are not economic in nature but are psychological – of taking their company to a new level, of becoming leaders in what they do and pushing the limits.
WEB further states that “these managers is that they have exactly the job they want for the rest of their working years“. This is probably the most important line for a startup. Have people who like what they are doing rather then employing people.
Business Decisions
A lot of startups assume that once they reach a user base, they can sell out to a bigger player. This approach can take them only so much far. They should take a cue from WEB. He has been advocating the importance of a long-term time horizon for businesses. In my opinion, selling out is ok but only after reaching a point where you think that the other party can contribute more meaningfully to the business and its shareholders.
WEB says, “as with Berkshire, a deal is a deal.” A lot depends on the way your word is taken in the market. Especially when you are starting, a lot of reputation is on stake. As it’s said, reputation once gone is gone forever.
Businesses
WEB says, “A truly great business must have an enduring moat that protects excellent returns on invested capital“. Most of the startups are engaged in reinventing the wheel. I can recall just two Indian innovative products. For a country of a billion, just two innovative ideas? Need of the hour is to look at businesses that are different, can not be copied easily and havhttp://www.blogger.com/img/gl.link.gife a moat round it. The moat could be because of the scale (IRCTC), technology leadership (Zoho), people (??), knowledge of markets (Future Group?), low cost of operations (?) and many other factors. Startups need to identify their moat and build their company around it.
Realistic Assumptions
It’s always recommended to fly high. But the feet should be well grounded for that. Like in the report, WEB says, “Berkshire’s past record can’t be duplicated or even approached. Our base of assets and earnings is now far too large for us to make outsized gains in the future.” It would have been easy for WEB to paint rosy pictures but he chose otherwise. Startups should be realistic when they set their goals and get down to implement them.
To end it on a light note, WEB says, “Just as Adam and Eve kick-started an activity that led to six billion humans, See’s has given birth to multiple new streams of cash for us. (The biblical command to “be fruitful and multiply” is one we take seriously at Berkshire.)“. Startups need to identify a business that can grow organically and can operate for a long time.
Although WEB says “Start-ups are not our game”, I could still find these nuggets of wisdom. Anyone wants to share more?
PlaygroundOnline.com > Review
Playground Online
PlaygroundOnline.com is yet another entrant in the Indian e-commerce space. It retails sports related media and equipment. They currently offer books, CDs, equipments, apparel etc. This is probably first of its kind online store in India. I took PGO for a spin and here is my feedback.
What I like about PGO?
First and foremost, although they want to sell things online but they have put a lot of focus on customer friendliness and costumer interaction. Things like polls, news, forums can make this website a default place for sports enthusiasts. These initiatives help build a strong and loyal community and eventually garner sales.
The range of products on PGO is really wide. From a t-shirt worth Rs. 280 to a bicycle worth Rs. 46000 (obviously for a professional), PGO had a lot of things for offer. I could not check if this range is comprehensive but everything I could think of was either there or they were accounted for and being worked upon. This is a good thing for an e-commerce business. I can think of people visiting PGO to find out more about sporting goods and then buying it offline. Challenge will be to convert these information scouts into customers.
Design
The website interface is impressive for an Indian startup and they have used a good mix of traditional style web design and Web 2 functionality. They still need to work on few things though. Like for example when you are trying to signup, the errors are reported in a pop-up box. This should ideally be a Web 2 pop-up where errors are notified the moment they are encountered. I should never get a Windows pop-up.
Team
PGO has been started by a team of 4 people with average work experience of 15 years. Experience of 60 man-years could be a good thing and a bad thing at the same time. With experience comes rigidity; you might start shooting down ideas even before you give them enough time to fruit. You start living on assumptions. You are scared of breaking out of the mold.
And with experience one develops the knack of running businesses. The team is experienced enough to know what is to be done to make the business run efficiently. Looking at the website and they have used their experience well.
What I like about their team is the fact that all 4 co-founders have different and diverse backgrounds. From client relationships to technology to marketing to customer insights, they have it all. The roles could thus be clear and they can concentrate on larger things.
Competition
They don’t seem to have one large competitor right now. However they compete with bookstores (fabmall, om books etc), apparel stores (rediff, sify) and obviously with traditional retail stores. The business model is new in India and looks lucrative. There should be many more players in the market soon.
Payment Options
One of the key reasons why e-commerce is still in nascent stages is lack of adequate payment options. Credit cards penetration is still low in India. People are still skeptic of using their cards online. And finally they are not really convinced about credibility of these websites.
At PGO, there are limited payment options currently but they have mentioned that they are working on more methods. I would love to see them implement a cash-on-delivery method. COD gives an online merchant immediate access to people who dont have cards and people with cards who are scared of using the cards online.
What more can PGO do?
Comparison between brands and products. When buying a product, people love to understand the features, benefits and differences. I don’t see a link for comparing two items. If they can somehow implement a comparison, it would be great.
User community. All the ecommerce websites have been adding users to forums. If PGO is really convinced about sports as a leisure or a lifestyle activity in India, create special interest groups of people with similar interests. Give them things like competitions to participate in, platforms to talk about their interests etc. Basically in one word, give something more than a typical forum or a social network.
Final thoughts
PGO has done a good job with their store. The only thing that might let them down is the very acceptance of the business model. If I was a VC with money, I would have invested in the business, obvisouly after talking to the owners and looking at the projected cash flow statements.
And finally, since we are talking about ecommerce, lets try to see what can be sold successfully over the Internet? Something that is standardized. Something that you are confident would be similar irrespective of place you bought it from. Something like an airplace ticket. Something like a computer. Something like a book. Sporting equipment – I am not sure. Lessons for other players? Make the products standardized, eliminate shopping pains and have in place an awesome customer service.
Questions to ponder on?
Are sporting goods similar to airline tickets? Books?
Advertising online?
Adlab has posted this comScore press release on banner clicks. One of the most important observation is that
a very small group of consumers who are not representative of the total U.S. online population is accountable for the vast majority of display ad click-through behavior.
What does this mean for online advertising industry?
For brands: Advertising online might be a good idea but its still far from generating the revenues.
Disclaimer
I am using a study conducted in US to base my opinion on. This study might not be relevant in India.
Cleartrip.com introduces Train Search
My favorite travel site has come up with yet another feature. Train search. Now I have alternatives to irctc and indianrail.
Try it here.
You cant book the tickets just now. You can just see a list of stations the train would go through.
What does it mean for cleartrip?
1. They move beyond just air fares (and occasion hotels) and go a step closer to being a complete travel solution provider.
2. Get more traffic (of people interested in trains).
3. More conversions from train travelers. If cleartrip could introduce another widget right next to the train search results and show the traveler that air travel is real cheap, bookings rate would shoot up. And I can bet, this feature is on its way.
Currently, apart from IRCTC, Makemytrip.com offers trains. But they also are limited to rail tours. They don’t have a listing of stations (the way Cleartrip has). After all the hoopla about train bookings, looks like Cleartrip has emerged the winner. Yet again.
Keep watching. The online travel operator war is just beginning to start.
Related Links
Online Travel Agents in India
Cleartrip.com earning report
Online Travel Agents in India
TOI has this piece on Online Travel Agents in India.
The survey about locations of users is important. It shows the readiness towards e-commerce in India and where a location specific service (local search, order aggregation, ) might work. More on this later.
There is something even more interesting. The number of tickets that leading OTAs book per day. MakeMyTrip.com books 8000 tickets a day. ClearTrip.com books 6000 tickets a day. This number has been reported by the company themselves. There is no reason to doubt the accuracy. After all they are not like social networking websites where the number of members is the only way to evaluate these companies.
Going by these numbers, Cleartrip.com books approximately 22 lakh tickets per year. I assume this number to be correct (don’t know if these many people fly in India per year) and going by earlier post on Cleartip.com earnings, average billing per ticket is 3200 bucks.
And again assuming that they get between 1% and 5% of the ticket as commission, they make anywhere between 50 and 250 bucks per ticket. This is a big range but without data, this is the best number.
Anyone thoughts?
Related Posts
Cleartrip.com earning report
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ICICI Bank Credit Cards advertising on Facebook
ICICI Bank Credit Cards is now advertsing on Facebook.
Orkut vs Facebook seems to be a popular topic amongst people in India. This advertisement by ICICI Bank Credi Cards might just be the beginning of Facebook’s acceptance as a social networking platform frequented by Indians.
This brings me to another discussion. Effectiveness of text ads delivered by Google Adsense vs ads delivered by Facebook as a notification.
For an online ad to be effective, it should have following …
1. Visibility – With those slick blocks, FB ads are far more visible than cluttered text ads delivered by Google.
2. Hook – Why would someone click on an ad knowing that it is an ad? Because of a hook. Hook like “Rs. 250 on your first purchase”, no points for guessing which platform has better hooks.
3. Reach – Obvisouly Google Adsense leads by a long way. FB can display ads only in its network and Google can reach the dense rainforests of the world wide web.
In the long run, its hard to tell which one would win. FB looks better but they have a huge problem. The ads can only be served within the social network and hence is limited in scale.
Any other opinions?
Past-Present-Future of e-commerce in India
Mitul asked this question on LinkedIn. I am posting my answer.
Past-Present-Future of e-commerce in India.
E-commerce in India is at a very nascent stage compared to western world. However, if compared to last year, transactions have grown by over 1000% (or more) and my assumption is that the future is going to be even more exciting.
Railways & Airlines have played a major role in this. What is the next big thing that will take e-commerce to the next level?
My Answer
Hi Mitul,
I think the next wave is going to be commodity products. Something like Books. Things that you don’t mind buying from any store, you would buy them online if the website gave you a discount. Other things that would fall under this category are computers (Dell), Stationary (OfficeTiger, Office 1 superstore) etc.
Fashion as mentioned by Heber might not work in India as we still want to touch and feel these products. In fact even when we go to a store, we spend hours deciding on the right fit and look. Its something innate to Indians. (am not sure about other cultures).
If I come across more, will update this.
–
SG
I further updated the answer …
Hi Mitul,
I dont know what would build the future. It’s just that I put myself in customers shoes and figure out what would I want to buy online.
Talking about mobile phones, one reason why I dont think it would work is that we as Indians want to touch and feel a product a before we buy. With an online model am not sure if I can touch and feel a product.
Second we buy things from a trusted service provider rather than any random person. Websites are still not trusted parties for most Indians. I would pay a premium to buy something from a trusted shop and might leave the 5% discount that online sales get me.
Third a mobile phone is still 5000 bucks and this is above average amount for an average Indian. Spending this much means that stakes involved are high (might not be able to buy it some time soon in case it is faulty). Thus we go the extra step in making sure that decision is correct in the first place.
Hope this helps.
Warm Regards,SG
Anyone wants to share their opinions .. ?
Cleartrip.com earning report
According to Sandeep Murthy, CEO, Cleartrip.com, “We are expecting to close this March 2008 with a Rs 700-crore turnover”. Link
700 crore is a huge number for an online ticketing website. Lets see how much of this 700 crores is actually earnings for Cleartrip.
I will make following assumptions.
1. Average ticket price is Rs. 2,500 (The actual would be higher)
2. Cleartrip.com makes Rs. 100 on each ticket (I know for a fact that ticketing agents make all of Rs. 50 on each ticket. I am assuming that Cleartrip.com has the muscles to get better margins).
Time for some simple maths.
Turnover: Rs. 700 Crores aka Rs. 700 00 00 000
Number of tickets: 700 00 00 000 / 2 500 = 28 00 000
Margin per ticket: 28 00 000 * 100 = 28 00 00 000
Net Earning: 28 Crores
28 crores in first few years of operation is actually not bad for an online ticketing company. After they recover their investment costs (which should not be more than 20 odd crores if they are prudent), all revenues are theirs to keep.
There is zero or negligible operating cost for a business like theirs. No raw material costs, no managing the back end, no overheads. All they need to do is pay the licensing guy and put money in marketing. Further once they reach a traction point, even the marketing costs would start reducing.
Actually no. Theirs is a business with zero competitive advantage. Any website offering better deals will get the chunk of the business. How can they build moats around their castles? If they cant build those moats, they will have to somehow figure out a balance point between marketing spends and revenues.
Recently Yatra.com paid 10 crores to Mahesh Murthy‘s Pinstorm for online marketing. Keeping in context Cleartrip’s earning at 28 crores , I wonder how much is Yatra making and is Yatra breaking even with this kind of marketing spend?
The business looks really lucrative. No wonder everyone wants to get into online ticketing. The long term winner will be the one who can leverage marketing effectively.
There’s absolutely no bubble in Technology
AWESOME !